The market is likely to focus on Goodie Two Shoes, and understandably so given her Melbourne Cup second. She is the class horse, but punters must accept the fitness risk.
Happy Pharoah arrives with the strongest recent form and looks set for another big run if the ground does not deteriorate significantly. Chally Chute remains one of Ireland's more underrated stayers and should be finishing strongly if ready after his break.
The horse that interests me most from a value perspective is That's Amore. Her profile is unusual, but she has shown enough at different stages of her career to suggest her current rating may underestimate her ability. A strongly-run race could bring out more than we've seen so far.
Final Conclusion
Most Likely Winner: Goodie Two Shoes
Main Danger: Happy Pharoah
Best Each-Way/Value Play: That's Amore
Dark Horse: Chally Chute
Betting Approach: Small each-way interest on That's Amore; otherwise respect Goodie Two Shoes as the class standard.
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