8.30 Sandown – Spillers Spectacular Handicap (Class 4, 1m6f)🏇⤵️👇

A fascinating four-runner staying handicap rounds off the Sandown card, with all four arriving with something to recommend them, although the progressive Kakirra sets a clear standard.

Ollie Sangster's three-year-old has improved rapidly since stepping into handicaps and moving up in trip, reeling off four successive victories. Despite climbing the weights, he has continued to find more, suggesting his current mark may still underestimate his ability. In a race lacking an established Pattern-class performer, he is the one with the most obvious scope for further improvement and looks a worthy favourite.

Boilermaker appears the chief threat. The French-bred gelding has been knocking on the door in similar company and has the consistency to make his presence felt again. While he may not possess the same untapped potential as the favourite, he is reliable and should ensure Kakirra earns the prize.

Last Verse produced a career-best effort when opening his account last time and remains lightly raced over staying trips. If able to build on that performance, he has claims of reaching the frame, although another step forward will be required to trouble the favourite.

The least exposed runner is Outflank, who steps into handicap company after showing ability in maiden and novice company. He receives no easy introduction, however, and will need to improve on what he has shown so far to trouble more battle-hardened rivals.

With only four runners declared, tactics are likely to play a significant role. A steadily run affair could place the emphasis on positioning and acceleration rather than outright stamina, making racecraft as important as raw ability. Even so, Kakirra has displayed the strongest recent profile, combining progressive form with proven stamina, and is taken to extend his winning sequence.

Prediction

1. Kakirra

2. Boilermaker

3. Last Verse

4. Outflank

Verdict: Kakirra brings the strongest credentials into the race and still looks ahead of the assessor despite a sequence of rising marks. Boilermaker rates the most solid alternative, while Last Verse has each-way claims in a deeper field but may have to settle for minor honours here.

Sandown 7.25 – Spillers Winners Handicap (Class 5, 1m)🏇⤵️👇

An interesting eight-runner three-year-old handicap closes the Sandown card, with several lightly raced types still open to improvement. The market is headed by Galba, who sets the standard on recent form after finishing a creditable third over course and distance last month. Now making his first start for a new stable, he has the profile of a horse capable of taking another step forward and looks the one they all have to beat.

The chief tactical interest surrounds Sydney Rock. Her two runs this season can be forgiven to a degree, particularly her latest effort over an inadequate 6f, and the return to a mile should suit much better. If she is able to secure an uncontested lead, she could prove difficult to reel in around this turning track.

Next Guilian is another with claims. He has shown enough ability to suggest a race of this nature is within reach and appeals as a solid contender if building on his latest effort. Home Hero has the best speed figures in the field and cannot be dismissed, although his current market position leaves little margin for improvement.

Of the remainder, Santiago Boy has each-way possibilities if taking another step forward, while Ingemar, Terranoble and Bennyworth all need to improve on what they have shown so far.

With no confirmed strong pace apart from Sydney Rock, race tactics could prove decisive. Nevertheless, Galba possesses the strongest overall profile, combining proven course form with scope for further progress, and is taken to confirm favouritism. Sydney Rock rates the principal danger if allowed an easy lead, while Next Guilian appeals as the best of the closers.

Prediction

1. Galba

2. Sydney Rock

3. Next Guilian

4. Home Hero

5:25 Yarmouth – Get Raceday Ready Handicap (Class 6, 7f)🏇⤵️👇

A competitive-looking Class 6 handicap in which there is little to separate the principals on official figures, although recent form and race conditions may prove decisive.

Thapa VC sets the standard after breaking his duck for the season last time out and arrives in the most solid current form. His recent profile has been one of steady progression, and another prominent showing looks likely if he reproduces that effort. A straightforward run on Yarmouth's quick seven furlongs should suit.

Methgal heads the market for his first start since joining Dylan Cunha from Ireland. He shaped better than the bare result on his latest outing and represents a yard that has enjoyed success with similar recruits. The stable switch offers obvious scope for improvement, although his price leaves little margin for error.

Rusheen Boy could be the value alternative. He has shown enough this season to suggest he remains capable of winning from this sort of mark and looks overlooked by the market compared with his overall profile. If able to settle into a good rhythm, he has the ability to get involved late.

Noble Guest is a dependable handicapper who regularly runs to his mark without finding much extra. He should be competitive for the places, while Orange Emperor has been knocking on the door in similar company and is another who could make the frame if the race develops in his favour.

Way To Dubai possesses enough ability to feature but has become difficult to predict, while Mayfair Market, Minshaar and El Carrusel all need to raise their game on recent evidence.

With no obvious abundance of early pace, tactical positioning could prove important on the straight course. Horses able to race prominently without doing too much early may hold an advantage if the field remains tightly grouped.

Verdict: Thapa VC brings the strongest recent credentials and is the one to beat. Methgal commands respect on his stable debut but is short enough in the betting, while Rusheen Boy appeals as the value play at double-figure odds. Noble Guest and Orange Emperor look the most likely candidates to fill the minor honours.

Predicted finishing order:

1. Thapa VC

2. Methgal

3. Rusheen Boy

4. Noble Guest

5. Orange Emperor

Beverley 4.30 – It's Ladies Day Next On 12 August Handicap (Class 5, 5f)🏇⤵️👇

A competitive nine-runner sprint brings together several in-form handicappers, with Azuinthejungle and Crafty Spirit heading the market after recent victories.

Azuinthejungle arrives as the deserved favourite after scoring decisively last time. Although the winning margin was narrow, the manner of the victory suggested he had more in hand, and another bold bid looks likely if reproducing that level. He remains on an upward curve and sets the standard.

The value, however, may lie with Crafty Spirit. A dual winner on his last two starts, he has continued to progress this season and looks well suited by Beverley's sharp five furlongs. Drawn on the inside, he could secure an ideal early position and appears capable of giving the favourite plenty to think about.

Golden Havana has been knocking on the door without quite getting his head in front. Consistent rather than spectacular, he should again be competitive if the race is run to suit and appeals as one of the stronger each-way options.

Opal Storm is another to consider after returning to winning form last time. That effort hinted at a revival, and a repeat would put him firmly in the mix despite meeting stronger opposition.

Timeform's selection is Speeding Bullet, who returns from a short break 3 lb below his last winning mark. His recent form figures are uninspiring, but his stable has an excellent record in this race, making him an interesting outsider if bouncing back to his best.

The remaining runners all have bits of form that give them place possibilities, although each has something to prove. Empress Olivia has become hard to predict, Jojo Rabbit needs to rediscover earlier consistency, while Le Beau Garcon and Without Flaw will require improvement to trouble the principals.

Verdict

This looks a straightforward contest on paper, with Azuinthejungle and Crafty Spirit standing out on recent form. While the favourite is respected, Crafty Spirit appeals as the better betting proposition at the prices. Progressive, well drawn and arriving in winning form, he looks capable of completing a hat-trick.

Selection: Crafty Spirit

Main danger: Azuinthejungle

Each-way: Golden Havana

Beverley 3:55 – Hoof Hustle Handicap (Class 5, 7f 75y)🏇⤵️👇

A competitive seven-runner Class 5 handicap over Beverley's sharp turning seven-and-a-half furlongs, where early track position and the ability to handle the downhill run into the bend are often decisive. The ground is officially good to firm, with good in places, conditions that should suit most of the field.

The withdrawal of Masaban has left a small but evenly matched contest headed by Norcross Brow and Carolus Magnus, who dominate both the market and the recent form.

Norcross Brow arrives in excellent heart for Charlie Clover. Since joining his current yard he has been notably consistent, winning at Haydock before finishing a creditable second at Doncaster from the same mark. He has the profile of a horse still progressing, although his wide draw means Jason Hart will need to judge the early stages carefully to avoid conceding ground around the first bend.

The chief threat is Carolus Magnus, who produced the strongest recent piece of form in the field when scoring decisively last time out. He has often hinted at ability without putting races to bed, but that latest success suggested everything is beginning to click. A favourable middle draw should allow Joanna Mason to secure a handy position, and another step forward would make him difficult to beat.

Walk On Walk On is an interesting alternative. Drawn on the inside rail, he has the potential to enjoy an economical trip and arrives after a solid runner-up effort. If the leaders become involved in a tactical battle, he is well placed to capitalise at rewarding odds.

Dumfries has enough ability to be competitive but needs to leave a below-par seasonal return behind, while Willowinghurn has slipped to a workable mark and could outrun his price if rediscovering his earlier form. Lady Hornblower and Napolian both have bits of form that would give them claims but require significant improvement on recent efforts.

This does not look an especially strong Class 5, but it should be an honest contest. The race is likely to be decided by tactical positioning rather than raw ability, with the draw potentially playing a larger role than usual around Beverley's tight circuit.

Verdict

Carolus Magnus is preferred on the strength of his latest victory and appeals as the horse with the most scope to improve again. Norcross Brow sets the standard for consistency and is the obvious danger, while Walk On Walk On makes most appeal as the value alternative from his advantageous inside draw.

Predicted finishing order:

1. Carolus Magnus

2. Norcross Brow

3. Walk On Walk On

4. Dumfries

5. Willowinghurn

6. Lady Hornblower

7. Napolian

1.35 Beverley – Lady Jane Bethell Memorial Amateur Riders' Handicap (Class 6, 1m2f) 🏇⤵️👇

The opening race at Beverley is a competitive Class 6 handicap in which recent form, course experience and the quality of the amateur riders could prove decisive. With just eight runners, there should be no shortage of tactical intrigue, and the pace doesn't look strong enough to guarantee a searching gallop.

Last year's joint winner Star Start returns to defend his crown and catches the eye racing from a lower handicap mark than when successful 12 months ago. The same rider is back aboard, and the Tim Easterby-trained gelding has hinted on recent starts that he is ready to strike. Timeform has made him the selection, believing the return to Beverley can bring about another big performance.

Stablemates Sunny Orange and Perfidia head the market and are difficult to dismiss. Sunny Orange tops the TimeWise ratings after a string of consistent efforts and has the strongest overall profile in the race. He possesses a good blend of recent form, speed and reliability, making him a thoroughly deserving favourite.

Perfidia arrives in equally solid form, having finished runner-up on his last two starts. His recent figures are among the strongest in the field and another bold showing looks likely if he enjoys a smooth passage from stall four.

Of the remainder, Little She has been knocking on the door without getting her head in front and could pick up minor honours, while Alazwar shaped encouragingly when second last time and isn't without each-way claims if building on that effort. The others look to have a bit to find on both recent form and ratings.

Verdict

This revolves around the Tim Easterby trio, with Star Start narrowly preferred. His proven record in the race, reduced handicap mark and the return of the rider who shared the spoils last year make him an appealing choice at the prices.

Selection: ⭐ Star Start

Main danger: Sunny Orange

Next best: Perfidia

Predicted 1-2-3:

Star Start

Sunny Orange

Perfidia

Ripon 8.10 – City Of Ripon Handicap (Class 3) 1m | 3yo | Good | 6 runners🏇⤵️👇

On paper this is a small-field Class 3 handicap, but it is considerably more interesting than the numbers suggest. Four of the six runners retain varying degrees of untapped potential, while the remaining pair are established handicappers who know exactly where they stand. The race should be tactically run rather than an end-to-end gallop, and that could prove just as important as outright ability.

With only six runners, there is little room for hard-luck stories. Positioning around Ripon's tight bends is often decisive, particularly over a mile where the race can become a sprint from the three-furlong marker. Any horse forced to give away ground around the home turn usually pays the price.

Pace and race shape

Beyond The Bar is the obvious pace influence.

He has been ridden aggressively on his last few starts and made virtually all to win at Catterick. Connections have openly acknowledged that positive tactics suit him, and there appears little reason to change those tactics here.

Command The Stars has led before but has generally been happiest sitting just behind the pace, while Daydreama can race prominently without needing to force matters.

Masked Warrior, Noelan Star and Enchant are all comfortable being settled before producing one run.

That creates the possibility of an evenly-run rather than strongly-run race.

A steadily-run mile at Ripon places extra emphasis on tactical speed. Horses relying on a searching gallop to expose stamina weaknesses may find themselves with too much to do.

---

Runner-by-runner analysis

1. Command The Stars (OR 92)

Private Rating: 93

Command The Stars is the most exposed horse in the race but also brings the strongest established form.

His juvenile campaign culminated in a Listed success before respectable efforts in valuable handicaps and Pattern company. This season has been more difficult.

He was well beaten in two Listed races and never landed a blow in the Chester handicap before again finding Listed class beyond him at Goodwood.

The positive is that he now returns to a much more realistic assignment.

His York second in the Ebor meeting nursery remains solid handicap form and his Racing Post ratings have remained remarkably consistent throughout his career.

The concern is whether there is any improvement left.

A mark of 92 looks close to his ceiling rather than a platform for further progress.

Giving weight away around Ripon against progressive rivals is no easy task.

Strengths

- Highest established level.

- Tough and genuine.

- Proven in better races.

Concerns

- May already be fully exposed.

- Carries top weight.

- Little evidence of improvement at three.

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2. Noelan Star (OR 90)

Private Rating: 94

Possibly the most difficult horse to assess.

His first three starts could hardly have gone much better.

He destroyed a Newcastle novice before confirming that impression with another comfortable success under a penalty.

The Doncaster defeat came with a stone penalty and was still a highly creditable effort.

Connections then rolled the dice in the Britannia at Royal Ascot.

Nothing went right.

Drawn high in a race where the pace developed elsewhere, he never became competitive and his finishing position can probably be ignored.

This is effectively his first opportunity to show whether he truly belongs in Pattern-class handicaps.

Daniel Tudhope is an eye-catching booking and the return to a small field could suit perfectly.

The question is simply whether the Ascot run leaves any lasting doubts about his effectiveness on turf.

It is still too early to conclude that.

---

3. Masked Warrior (OR 89)

Private Rating: 95

For me, the most likely winner.

Unlike several rivals, his profile is still moving upwards.

He looked awkward in novice company before first-time cheekpieces transformed him at Kempton.

His handicap debut at Chester was particularly encouraging.

Chester's sharp bends and tactical nature often catch inexperienced horses out.

He briefly lost his position when the tempo lifted but rallied strongly inside the final furlong to finish a close third behind Jeddaal.

The bare margin of three-quarters of a length probably understates the merit of the run.

Importantly, it suggested he still has improvement to come once learning to travel more fluently.

Harry Davies knows him well.

William Haggas rarely overfaces inexperienced handicappers and this looks another carefully chosen opportunity.

If he progresses even three or four pounds from Chester, he becomes the horse they all have to beat.

---

4. Daydreama (OR 83)

Private Rating: 87

A frustrating horse.

His York second in May showed exactly why connections continue to persevere at this level.

On that occasion he travelled strongly, finished well and produced a performance that would make him competitive here.

Unfortunately he has failed to reproduce it.

His last three starts suggest he is vulnerable whenever the race becomes tactical.

He tends to travel well before flattening out late.

David Allan knows Ripon better than almost anyone and stall two gives tactical options, but others arrive with stronger profiles.

---

5. Enchant (OR 81)

Private Rating: 90

The most intriguing runner.

Only two career starts.

Debut winner.

Absent for almost twelve months.

Returned in a competitive Doncaster novice where she travelled kindly before understandably tiring late.

That race should bring her forward considerably.

Her pedigree screams improvement over this trip.

By Wootton Bassett out of a Galileo mare, there is every reason to believe a mile is exactly what she wants.

Karl Burke has an excellent record developing lightly-raced three-year-olds through handicaps and an opening mark of 81 could underestimate her ability.

Unlike several rivals, she has significant scope.

If she improves seven or eight pounds from her comeback she becomes a major player.

She is the value alternative to the favourite.

---

6. Beyond The Bar (OR 75)

Private Rating: 84

The likely leader.

His Catterick success was well deserved and the manner in which he dug deep after setting the pace deserves credit.

The difficulty is assessing the strength of that race.

It was a Class 5 handicap and today's opposition is considerably stronger.

Ripon can reward front-runners, particularly if they obtain an uncontested lead.

He may therefore run better than his handicap mark suggests.

Even so, another career best appears necessary.

---

Tactical outlook

Everything points towards Beyond The Bar dictating.

Command The Stars is likely to sit nearby.

Masked Warrior and Noelan Star should enjoy ideal stalking positions.

Enchant may be held up towards the rear before attempting to produce one late challenge.

If Beyond The Bar is allowed cheap fractions, this becomes much more tactical than form students might expect.

That would slightly reduce the advantage held by the stronger finishers.

If somebody decides to force the pace from halfway, the race should instead develop into a straightforward test of class, which would suit Masked Warrior and Noelan Star.

---

Ratings

Horse| Private Rating

Masked Warrior| 95

Noelan Star| 94

Command The Stars| 93

Enchant| 90

Daydreama| 87

Beyond The Bar| 84

Projected race rating: 93

This is a solid rather than exceptional Class 3.

The quality comes from progressive profiles rather than proven high-class handicap form.

---

Verdict

Masked Warrior has the strongest combination of current form, potential and stable placement. His Chester handicap debut suggested there is still untapped ability, and William Haggas excels with lightly raced three-year-olds in races of this nature. He is the percentage call.

Noelan Star is respected, particularly if forgiving the Britannia effort, but his turf credentials are not yet as convincing as his all-weather form.

Command The Stars sets the established standard but looks vulnerable under top weight against less exposed rivals.

The one who could upset the market is Enchant. She is almost impossible to quantify after just two starts, yet her pedigree, comeback run and opening handicap mark all hint that she has considerably more ability than she has shown so far. At around 5/1 she appeals as the value in the race.

Predicted finishing order

1. Masked Warrior

2. Enchant

3. Noelan Star

4. Command The Stars

5. Beyond The Bar

6. Daydreama

Betting recommendation

Masked Warrior is the most likely winner, but Enchant is the more interesting betting proposition. If she progresses as expected from her seasonal return, she has the potential to outperform her handicap mark by a meaningful margin and could develop into the best horse in this field by the end of the season.

Leicester 8.50 – Kube – Leicester's Premier Exhibition Venue Handicap (Class 6, 6f)🏇⤵️👇

This looks an ordinary but competitive three-year-old Class 6 handicap in which there is little between several of the principals. The race should be run at a genuine pace, with The Tunguska Event almost certain to go forward from the outset, while Maximum Velocity is another who is happiest racing prominently. That pace scenario could set the race up for those arriving late.

The Tunguska Event – The benchmark

The Tunguska Event sets the standard on recent form. His last four handicap runs have all been solid efforts, including a Catterick success and a good third at Doncaster off a similar mark. He is a genuine front-runner who gives his running almost every time.

The slight concern is Leicester's uphill finish. If allowed an uncontested lead he could prove difficult to reel in, but sustained early pressure would leave him vulnerable in the final furlong.

Private rating: 64

Maximum Velocity – Consistent and reliable

Maximum Velocity has progressed steadily through the season and arrives after a respectable third at Doncaster from today's mark. He has already won from a lower rating and generally races handily without needing to force the pace.

He looks one of the safest propositions in the race and is likely to obtain a good tactical position behind the leader.

Private rating: 63

Pimentel – The handicap angle

Pimentel may be the best handicapped runner in the field. Her recent second at Chepstow and third at Brighton suggest she is performing a few pounds above her official mark of 57.

She is likely to be ridden patiently and, if the leaders go too hard, she is the runner most likely to finish strongly.

Private rating: 60

Portacloy – Capable if returning to juvenile form

Portacloy won a 6f maiden as a two-year-old but has yet to reproduce that form in handicaps. Her mark has fallen to 65 and, after a break, this is the sort of race where a revival would not surprise.

The ability is there, but recent handicap evidence is less convincing than that of the principals.

Private rating: 60 (up to 66 if returning to best)

Apex Star – Honest maiden

Apex Star remains a maiden but has produced several respectable handicap efforts. His Bath second reads well enough for this grade and he is another likely to be positioned just behind the pace.

He is consistent without looking obviously ahead of the handicapper.

Private rating: 59

Crafty Blue – Hard to assess

Crafty Blue began handicapping from a lofty mark after winning a novice race but has disappointed badly in three starts over a mile. Dropping back to 6f and into weaker company offers some hope, although she has plenty to prove.

She is one of the more difficult runners to price accurately and could easily outrun or underperform market expectations.

Private rating: 58 (higher if the return to sprinting sparks improvement)

Goldenstateofmind – Needs a revival

Goldenstateofmind shaped with promise as a juvenile but has offered very little in three starts this season. His mark has eased to 63, yet he still needs to show much more than he has in recent handicaps.

He cannot be dismissed entirely on potential, but recent evidence makes him difficult to support.

Private rating: 56

Landslide – The unknown quantity

The sole handicap debutant has shown only modest form in novice company but receives the benefit of the doubt as an unexposed runner. His opening mark of 59 looks fair on what he has achieved, although he will need significant improvement to take a hand.

He has the greatest scope in the field but also the least substance.

Private rating: 54 (with potential to improve into the high 50s)

Predicted pace

- Likely leader: The Tunguska Event

- Tracking the pace: Maximum Velocity, possibly Apex Star

- Held up: Pimentel, Goldenstateofmind

- Question marks: Crafty Blue, Portacloy and Landslide may adopt more flexible tactics.

A truly run race would favour the closers, while a steady early gallop would increase The Tunguska Event's chance of making all.

Private ratings

Rank| Horse| Rating

1| The Tunguska Event| 64

2| Maximum Velocity| 63

3| Pimentel| 60

4| Portacloy| 60

5| Apex Star| 59

6| Crafty Blue| 58

7| Goldenstateofmind| 56

8| Landslide| 54

Verdict

This does not look a race containing an obviously well-handicapped winner, so reliability is an important factor. The Tunguska Event and Maximum Velocity have the strongest recent form and set the standard on private ratings.

The most interesting alternative is Pimentel, whose recent performances suggest she is better than her official mark and whose hold-up style could be well suited if the leaders ensure an honest pace.

For those looking beyond the principals, Portacloy is the value outsider. Her handicap form is disappointing, but she possesses enough juvenile ability to make her dangerous if returning anywhere near her best after a break.

Predicted finishing order:

1. The Tunguska Event

2. Maximum Velocity

3. Pimentel

4. Portacloy

Leicester 8.50 Review – Kube – Leicester's Premier Exhibition Venue Handicap (Class 6, 6f)

The race unfolded very much as anticipated, with The Tunguska Event setting a strong early gallop and Maximum Velocity tracking the leader throughout. The pace was genuine from the outset and, on Leicester's stiff finish, those who had been ridden more patiently were always likely to become involved late.

The Tunguska Event raced keenly in front and still held the advantage approaching the final furlong, but the early exertions eventually took their toll. Maximum Velocity moved through smoothly to lead over a furlong from home and looked the most likely winner, only to be caught close to the line by a well-timed late challenge from Crafty Blue.

Crafty Blue had been the difficult horse to assess beforehand. Her three handicap runs over a mile had been uniformly disappointing, but the return to 6f transformed her. Held up towards the rear, she travelled comfortably before producing the strongest finishing effort in the race, running down Maximum Velocity in the closing strides. Rather than representing a dramatic leap forward, the performance looked more like a return to the level she had shown when winning her juvenile novice at Southwell.

Maximum Velocity lost nothing in defeat. This was another honest effort from a horse who has become one of the most consistent performers at this level. He travelled strongly, took over at the right time and was only denied by a rival with a sharper turn of foot in the final 100 yards. He again ran right up to his established rating.

Apex Star filled third, producing another solid but exposed Class 6 performance. He travelled well enough behind the pace and kept on without ever looking capable of matching the first two. It was a fair reflection of his current ability.

The Tunguska Event ultimately faded into fourth after forcing the pace throughout. There was no disgrace in the effort, but it again highlighted that his best performances come when he can dominate without significant pressure. Racing keenly on a stiff track left him vulnerable late.

Portacloy stayed on at one pace in fifth. There were mild signs of encouragement after a break, but not enough to suggest a full return to her juvenile form.

The eye-catching run came from Landslide. Slowly into stride and detached early, he looked out of contention some way from home before staying on strongly inside the final furlong to finish nearest at the line. Although only sixth, this was a marked step forward on his handicap debut and suggested there is considerably more to come once he gains experience. He was the horse to take from the race.

By contrast, Pimentel disappointed. The anticipated strong pace should have suited her hold-up style perfectly, but she failed to quicken when the race developed and weakened in the closing stages. It was comfortably below her previous two efforts.

Goldenstateofmind again failed to build on his juvenile promise, weakening rapidly before being eased and finishing well beaten. It is becoming increasingly difficult to make a positive case for him until he shows some evidence of a revival.

Private performance ratings

Horse| Rating

Crafty Blue| 64

Maximum Velocity| 63

Apex Star| 60

The Tunguska Event| 61

Portacloy| 59

Landslide| 59 (upgrade)

Pimentel| 56

Goldenstateofmind| 40

Race rating: 62

This was an honest, ordinary Class 6 handicap rather than an above-average renewal. The pace was genuine, the result looked reliable, and the winner produced a performance just above the normal Class 6 standard without suggesting she is about to climb far beyond this level.

Horse to follow: Landslide. His finishing effort after a poor start and being outpaced early suggested this initial handicap mark may underestimate his ability, particularly over a slightly longer trip or another strongly run sprint.

Worcester 3:30 – Colin Jones Memorial Maiden Hurdle (Class 4, 2m½f)🏇⤵️👇

This looks an ordinary summer Class 4 maiden hurdle, with the established hurdle form setting a fair rather than exceptional standard. The race revolves around two proven performers, but there are a couple of unexposed four-year-olds capable of improving beyond their current ratings.

Penzance sets the standard on demonstrated form. A dual runner-up at Stratford this summer, he has travelled well, jumped soundly and posted the strongest hurdle performances in the field. His latest second came after making much of the running before being worn down after the last. A private rating of 104 makes him the horse to beat, although his current odds leave little room for improvement.

Earnest Belief is the solid alternative. He has been placed in three of his four hurdle starts and produced a career-best effort when third at Worcester last time, briefly leading after two out before weakening close home. Rated 100, he is consistent and genuine, though he has yet to show that he can find enough when it matters most.

The most interesting runner is Bound For Glory. His hurdle debut is better than the bare result, as he travelled strongly into contention before making a costly mistake three out and another at the last. He still finished a respectable third and, as a lightly raced four-year-old, looks the runner with the greatest scope for improvement. His current rating of 98 could easily rise into the low 100s with a cleaner round of jumping.

Without Burlington brings a progressive Flat profile to hurdles after winning his last two starts on the level. While his Flat ability does not match that of Penzance, he remains an intriguing recruit and is provisionally rated 96 until he proves himself over obstacles.

Starshine Legend has yet to build on moderate hurdle efforts at Uttoxeter and Perth. He has shown enough to suggest he can win an ordinary maiden in time, but on current evidence his figure of 94 leaves him with work to do.

The remainder look to have a considerable amount to find. Happy Chandler arrives in good heart from the Flat but has to prove his stamina and jumping on debut over hurdles. Lucky Diamond, Delgany Headline and Majestic Leo have shown little in their hurdle careers so far and would need dramatic improvement to feature.

Private Ratings

Horse| Rating

Penzance| 104

Earnest Belief| 100

Bound For Glory| 98 (strong improvement potential)

Without Burlington| 96

Starshine Legend| 94

Happy Chandler| 92

Lucky Diamond| 82

Delgany Headline| 78

Majestic Leo| 72

Verdict

Penzance deserves favouritism on established hurdle form, but his advantage over Earnest Belief is not overwhelming. Bound For Glory is the runner with the most appealing upside after an encouraging debut and is the one most likely to take a significant step forward. Without Burlington is respected on his Flat progression but must prove he can translate that ability to hurdles.

Predicted finishing order

1. Penzance

2. Bound For Glory

3. Earnest Belief

4. Without Burlington

Catterick 2:37 – Nursery Handicap Preview🏇⤵️👇

This looks an interesting early-season nursery where exposed form, handicap potential and race tactics all come into play.

Koodini sets the standard on established form. Hugo Palmer's colt has finished runner-up twice before placing on his nursery debut from a mark of 70. His second in a competitive Chester novice is the strongest piece of form on offer and he has repeatedly shown himself to be genuine and consistent. The slight concern is that his mark of 69 appears to reflect his ability reasonably accurately, leaving limited room for improvement. He looks likely to run his race again but may need everything to fall right to get off the mark.

Dakota Brave is arguably the most interesting runner from a handicapping perspective. Charlie Johnston's colt has shown plenty of natural pace in his maidens, making the running on more than one occasion before fading late. His Newcastle third over seven furlongs rates well enough to suggest he is capable of better than his current mark of 66, and a track like Catterick could suit his positive racing style if he is allowed to dictate. At around 8/1, he appeals as the value alternative.

Hamdani Mokhater arrives as the market leader after an encouraging nursery debut when beaten less than a length at Leicester. That was a clear step forward and suggests a mark of 60 is workable. However, the form came in an ordinary Class 6 nursery and the current odds leave little margin for error. Further improvement is entirely possible, but the market is already assuming another step forward.

Bigalo makes his handicap debut after three educational runs in novice company. His latest effort in a stronger York novice was his best to date, but he was never seriously involved and there is little hard evidence that he is well treated from an opening mark of 64. Improvement is possible now switched into handicaps, although his current price looks to factor that in.

Predicted race shape

Dakota Brave is the obvious pace angle and is likely to go forward from the outset. Koodini is also capable of racing prominently and should be well positioned throughout, while Hamdani Mokhater is expected to sit just behind the leaders before making his challenge. If Dakota Brave secures an uncontested lead, he could prove difficult to peg back around Catterick's sharp, turning seven furlongs.

Private ratings

Horse| Current Performance Rating

Koodini| 80–82

Dakota Brave| 78–80

Hamdani Mokhater| 75–77

Bigalo| 67–69

Verdict

Koodini brings the strongest proven form into the race but may be vulnerable from a mark that leaves little room for manoeuvre. Hamdani Mokhater is open to further progress but looks short enough in the betting given the level of form he has achieved so far.

At the prices, Dakota Brave appeals as the value play. His maiden form suggests he has more ability than his mark of 66, and if allowed an easy lead he has the tactical profile to take a sizeable step forward. Koodini is respected as the solid benchmark, while Hamdani Mokhater rates the chief danger if building on his handicap debut.

Soul Love Holds the Aces in Competitive Naas Listed Sprint🏇⤵️👇

The Yeomanstown Stud Irish EBF Stakes brings together a competitive field of 15 fillies and mares for this Listed contest over six furlongs, with several progressive sprinters looking to enhance their black-type credentials. Run on good ground at Naas, the straight track should provide every runner with a fair opportunity, making class and current form likely to prove decisive.

Soul Love sets the standard after producing the highest TimeWise rating in the field and arrives with the strongest recent form profile. She enjoys a clear advantage on the figures, while her impressive Trend Hunter profile suggests she closely matches the characteristics of previous winners of this race. If reproducing her best, she is the one they all have to beat.

The biggest threat could come from Coconut Cove, another filly with a progressive profile whose recent performances suggest there is still improvement to come. She rates comfortably second on the TimeWise figures and has the ability to make the favourite work hard.

There are several interesting each-way alternatives. Chantez is particularly intriguing after topping the Trend Hunter rankings despite being available at double-figure odds. Her Listed-class credentials, combined with a stable in good form, make her an appealing value contender. Sarahmae also commands respect, boasting a solid all-round profile and enough consistency to challenge for the places, while Treasure Rose has earned her position among the leading TimeWise ratings and should not be underestimated if the race develops in her favour.

Tahcawin, Fregada and Yellowstone Lake complete a strong second tier of contenders. All possess the ability to feature if taking another step forward, although each has a little to find with the principals on the ratings.

With the market leader holding a clear edge on both recent performance and historical race trends, Soul Love is a deserved favourite and looks the most likely winner. Coconut Cove rates the chief danger, while Chantez appeals as the value option capable of rewarding each-way support if building on her progressive profile.

Prediction: Soul Love – Coconut Cove – Chantez – Sarahmae.

18:39 Ballinrobe – BOYLE Sports Home Of The Early Payout Handicap Hurdle (2m1½f)🏇⤵️👇

A competitive summer handicap hurdle brings together a mix of in-form veterans, progressive handicappers and returning improvers, with Wolf Prince setting the standard following an authoritative front-running success at Sligo just nine days ago. Aidan Melia's 10-year-old looked revitalised on his return to hurdles, making every yard despite a long absence from the discipline, and a 5lb rise may not be enough to stop him if granted another uncontested lead around Ballinrobe.

The chief danger could come from Fiveonefive, whose best efforts over hurdles suggest he is capable of being very competitive from this mark. His recent Cartmel run was respectable in a stronger contest, and the booking of Mark Walsh catches the eye. If reproducing his peak Irish form, he has solid claims of making the frame.

Spinola Bay is an intriguing runner for Gordon Elliott. He progressed well with consecutive handicap victories last season before finding novice company tougher than expected. Returning to handicaps looks a positive move, although the quicker ground is a slight concern. If handling conditions, he possesses enough class to feature prominently.

One of the more interesting outsiders is Dontgowithjoe, who returns from an 11-month absence seeking a remarkable hat-trick after successive victories at Ballinrobe and Bellewstown last summer. The handicapper has reacted with a 13lb rise, but he remains relatively unexposed and could still have improvement to come if fully tuned up.

Sir Allen is another capable of outrunning his odds. He returned from a lengthy break with a convincing Flat success before failing to fire over hurdles at Roscommon. That run may have brought him on, and a return to his best hurdle form would put him firmly in the mix.

Further down the field, Eye Contact has shown flashes of ability in recent starts and could outrun his price, while Space Warrior has become well treated by the handicapper after a steady decline in the ratings. Both have place possibilities if finding a little extra.

Verdict

Wolf Prince appeals as the most likely winner. His recent Sligo success suggested he has rediscovered his enthusiasm, and another positive ride from the front could prove difficult for his rivals to counter.

Fiveonefive and Spinola Bay look the principal threats, while Dontgowithjoe rates as the value alternative at bigger odds if returning in the same form he showed last summer.

Predicted 1-2-3:

1. Wolf Prince

2. Fiveonefive

3. Spinola Bay

Best Bet: Wolf Prince

Value Bet: Dontgowithjoe

Danger: Spinola Bay

17:39 Ballinrobe – David Heneghan Memorial Handicap Hurdle (2m1½f)🏇⤵️👇

A competitive nine-runner handicap hurdle where several arrive with something to prove, but Le Diablo sets the standard after an encouraging return to form at Wexford earlier this month. John Patrick Ryan's five-year-old, a winner at Clonmel in April, looked back on track when finishing second last time and now returns to a similar trip on good ground. With his stable continuing in excellent form and a first-time tongue-tie applied, he looks the one they all have to beat.

Bhean Saibhre is capable of making things interesting if able to bounce back. A course-and-distance winner who has mixed Flat and hurdle campaigns effectively in the past, her recent efforts have been disappointing, but a valuable 7lb claim eases her burden and a return to Ballinrobe could spark a revival.

The unexposed Houndsworth appeals as a potential value alternative. His wide-margin Cork handicap success in April suggested he could progress beyond his current rating, and his latest novice hurdle run is easier to forgive. Back in handicap company on his preferred ground, he's capable of getting involved if rediscovering that level.

Max Meridius has maintained his fitness on the Flat and remains relatively lightly raced over hurdles. His Leopardstown runs should have sharpened him up, and a return to obstacles could see further improvement. He's another with solid each-way credentials.

The dark horse is Doctor Confusion. Henry de Bromhead's gelding has been absent for almost a year following a disappointing handicap debut, but he showed enough promise in maiden hurdles to suggest there is more ability than his form figures indicate. If returning in peak condition, he wouldn't be a surprise package.

The remainder all have questions to answer. Marlpark and Valsorpresa have bits of form that would give them place claims but need to bounce back from below-par efforts, while At The Wings and handicap debutante Ballinvasas Best require significant improvement to trouble the principals.

With no abundance of natural front-runners, the pace may be steady early before the race develops into a tactical sprint. That should suit those racing prominently, particularly Le Diablo, whose recent consistency and favourable conditions make him the one to beat.

Verdict: Le Diablo looks the most solid option and is taken to record his second hurdle success of the season. Houndsworth rates the main value at bigger odds, while Bhean Saibhre can outrun her price if rediscovering her earlier-season form.

Beverley Review – Tuesday 14 July 2026 using the HRB standard time calculator ⏱️⤵️👇

Beverley staged a varied card on good-to-firm ground, with the juvenile novice producing the standout performance of the afternoon and the remainder of the programme largely made up of modest handicaps.

Race of the Day – Fast Track impresses

The opening EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes was comfortably the strongest race on the card. Fast Track made all and routed her three rivals by seven lengths, recording a time around 1.08 seconds faster than the HRB standard.

The small field tempers enthusiasm slightly, but the combination of authority, margin and clock support marks her down as a useful juvenile prospect. On private figures she achieved a rating of 92, comfortably the best performance of the meeting.

Pendella wins tactical Class 4 contest

The Malcolm Greenslade Memorial Handicap looked the deepest handicap beforehand, with an average official rating of 78. However, a four-runner field and a steadily run race reduced its value as a form race.

Pendella made all and narrowly held off Its Debatable, but the race was run 0.60 seconds slower than standard and the first two were difficult to separate on performance. The race earned a rating of 81, making it the strongest handicap on the card but not an especially strong Class 4.

Low-grade handicaps dominate

The three Class 6 handicaps produced exactly the sort of form expected from horses operating in the 45-60 rating band.

What A Tahoo won the Young Guns Handicap, but despite a respectable time the race itself remained modest, earning a race rating of 54.

The Beverley Annual Badgeholders Handicap over 1m2f was even less convincing. Run at a very slow overall pace and finishing in a compressed group, it looked a tactical affair rather than a genuine test. Kitsune Power gained the verdict, but the race was rated only 57 after taking the clock into account.

The Connexin Gigabit Gallop Handicap over 5f produced one of the better low-grade efforts of the afternoon. Crafty Spirit came from off the pace to win in a time 0.58 seconds faster than standard. The performance was solid for the grade, though the overall race depth remained ordinary, leading to a race rating of 52.

The Sweet Escape finishes strongly

The concluding 7½f Class 5 handicap was arguably the most informative handicap of the meeting.

Enjoy The Night set a strong pace and looked likely to take catching, but The Sweet Escape travelled strongly before finishing best to overhaul him close home. The race was run 0.34 seconds faster than standard and had a much more reliable shape than several earlier contests.

The Sweet Escape recorded a private rating of 68 and the race itself earned a figure of 66, making it the second-best handicap performance on the card behind Pendella.

Card Summary

Race| Race Rating

EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Fast Track)| 89

Malcolm Greenslade Memorial Hcap (Pendella)| 81

Racing Again On Monday Evening Hcap (The Sweet Escape)| 66

Beverley Annual Badgeholders Hcap (Kitsune Power)| 57

Young Guns Hcap (What A Tahoo)| 54

Connexin Gigabit Gallop Hcap (Crafty Spirit)| 52

Overall View

The card was headed by one genuinely notable performance from Fast Track, whose combination of dominance and time figure suggests she could prove useful. Beneath that, Pendella won the strongest handicap on paper, although the tactical nature of the race limited its value.

Most of the remaining handicaps were typical summer Beverley fare: competitive, tightly handicapped and modest in absolute terms. The Sweet Escape emerged as the best handicap winner on performance, while Enjoy The Night was arguably the horse to take from the race after forcing a strong pace and sticking on well.

In ratings terms, Fast Track was the clear headline act of the day.

All-Ireland Senior Hurling Final 2026 Galway v Limerick – Croke Park, Sunday 19 July, 3.30pm

The 139th All-Ireland Senior Hurling Championship reaches its conclusion on Sunday when Galway and Limerick meet in Croke Park for the Liam MacCarthy Cup. It is the fourth All-Ireland final between the counties and the first since Limerick's dramatic 3-16 to 2-18 victory in 2018. 

For Galway, this is their first appearance in the final since that 2018 defeat. For Limerick, it is an opportunity to reclaim the title they last won in 2023 and add a 13th All-Ireland crown to their collection. 

Road to the Final

Galway's route has been built on steady improvement under Micheál Donoghue. After recovering from a disappointing Leinster round-robin defeat to Dublin, they stormed back to win the Leinster title before producing one of the performances of the season in their 2-26 to 1-18 demolition of Cork in the All-Ireland semi-final. 

Limerick's path has been more arduous. They emerged from a fiercely competitive Munster campaign and needed a dramatic late comeback to defeat Clare 1-21 to 1-19 in the semi-final, with Aidan O'Connor's late goal rescuing John Kiely's side when defeat appeared imminent. 

The Historical Context

The rivalry has produced some memorable championship encounters. Galway won the All-Ireland finals of 1923 and 1980, while Limerick prevailed in the most recent decider in 2018. More recently, however, Limerick have held the upper hand, winning the All-Ireland semi-finals of 2020, 2022 and 2023. 

Those victories give Limerick a psychological advantage, but Galway will point to the fact that this is a very different team from the one beaten in recent years.

Team News

The biggest boost for Limerick is the fitness of captain Cian Lynch. After concerns following the Clare semi-final, John Kiely has confirmed that Lynch is fully fit and available. 

Galway have received encouraging news regarding Daithí Burke, who came through the Cork semi-final after earlier injury concerns. Rory Burke remains a player being monitored ahead of the final. 

Tactical Battle

Galway's Challenge

Galway's success this summer has been built around pace, direct running and a much greater goal threat than many expected. Conor Whelan has become the focal point of the attack, while Galway's runners from deep have consistently created scoring opportunities. 

The key question is whether Galway can generate enough quality possession to supply that forward line.

Limerick's Strength

Limerick remain the benchmark for structure and physicality. Their half-back and middle-third units continue to dictate games through relentless work-rate, aerial dominance and intelligent use of possession.

Even when below their best against Clare, they demonstrated the resilience that has characterised their golden era, finding a way to win from a difficult position. 

Key Areas That Could Decide The Final

Midfield and Breaking Ball

This may be the most important battleground of all.

Galway were outstanding around breaks against Cork, while Limerick have traditionally built their dominance on winning second-ball possession and turning it into scoring opportunities.

Galway's Goal Threat

Galway's ability to create and finish goal chances gives them a weapon that can trouble any defence. If they can expose space inside the Limerick full-back line, they have the forwards capable of punishing mistakes.

Limerick's Experience

Many of Limerick's leaders have played in multiple All-Ireland finals and know exactly how to manage the pressure of the occasion. That experience proved crucial against Clare and could again become decisive during the closing stages.

Verdict

This feels like the most open All-Ireland final involving Limerick for several years.

Galway arrive with momentum, confidence and perhaps the strongest attacking form in the championship. Their victory over Cork showed they possess both tactical flexibility and genuine belief.

Limerick, however, still have the deeper reservoir of big-match experience. The return of Cian Lynch strengthens a side that has repeatedly found answers when under pressure, and their ability to control the middle third remains unmatched when operating at full capacity. 

Galway have the tools to win, particularly if they can turn possession into goals. But until somebody proves otherwise on All-Ireland final day, Limerick's championship pedigree makes them marginal favourites.

But Galway looks great value at around 3.65 currently to win in normal time.

Lingfield 2.15 Preview: Can the Favourite Overcome a Tactical Concern?

The 2.15 at Lingfield looks a fascinating puzzle despite being a modest Class 6 selling handicap over 1m4f. On paper, Heart Sign heads the market and tops both the RTR and TimeWise ratings, but there are enough questions surrounding the favourite to make this a more competitive race than the betting suggests.

The first thing that stands out is the likely race shape. HorseRaceBase's Comment Shaper predicts a weak pace scenario, with no recognised front-runner in the field and very little early pressure expected. Such races often develop into tactical affairs where track position becomes crucial and horses coming from well off the pace can find themselves with too much to do.

That pace setup raises concerns for Heart Sign. The three-year-old has repeatedly been slow away in recent starts and the Racing Post notes that blowing the start has cost him on his last two outings. Oisin Murphy takes the ride and the application of a first-time visor could help, but in a race lacking pace, surrendering early position may prove costly.

Mister Daydream is the obvious alternative among the principals. He sits second on both the RTR and TimeWise rankings and has dropped to a mark from which he is becoming increasingly dangerous. However, his recent form figures leave plenty to be desired and his hold-up style is not an obvious fit for a race that may turn into a sprint from the home bend.

The horse who continues to appeal from a value perspective is Cezarro. Third on both RTR and TimeWise ratings, he is available at a double-figure price despite being relatively close to the market leaders on the figures. His latest Lingfield run has already produced two subsequent winners and David Probert is a positive booking. The step up to 1m4f asks a new question, but if he settles, he looks capable of outrunning his odds.

Perhaps the most interesting runner tactically is Sapphire Dream. Drawn in stall one and forecast to race closest to the pace, he could enjoy the run of the race if the predicted weak pace materialises. Charlie Clover's excellent Lingfield and distance statistics add further encouragement. The concern is whether he truly stays the trip, but from a tactical viewpoint he has plenty in his favour.

Premier Cru has support from the strong James Fanshawe and Daniel Muscutt combination, while Lunar Power has enough staying power and distance credentials to make the frame if the race develops into a test of stamina. Both are respected but may need career-best efforts to win.

Verdict

This race looks far less straightforward than the market suggests. Heart Sign is the most likely winner on the ratings but has obvious tactical risks at a short price. Sapphire Dream could get the ideal trip from stall one if the pace unfolds as expected, while Cezarro makes plenty of appeal as the value alternative.

Selection

Cezarro

Main Danger

Heart Sign

Dark Horse

Sapphire Dream

Value Play

Cezarro (18/1)

17:48 Roscommon Preview: Astelia Can Use Lone-Speed Edge in Open Maiden Hurdle🏇⤵️👇

The 17:48 at Roscommon, the Shanagher Hearing Maiden Hurdle, looks a deeper race than a standard summer maiden, with several exposed but capable types taking on a handful of less-exposed runners. The market is headed by familiar names, but the race shape could be the deciding factor.

Astelia makes the most appeal. She has finished runner-up in six of her eight hurdle starts, so there is an obvious concern that she has become hard to win with. However, her recent figures are strong, she handles good ground, stays this two-mile trip well, and the pace map gives her a major tactical advantage. She is the only clear front-runner in the field, which could allow Sam Ewing to dictate steady fractions and kick before the closers get organised.

Luker’s Tipple is the obvious danger on ratings. He has the highest published hurdle rating in the field and has been admirably consistent in defeat. His third at Limerick behind Game Point was another solid run, but with 13 hurdle starts already, he is more reliable than progressive. At short odds, he looks fairly priced rather than a value play.

Game Point is the most interesting improver. He is only four, has shaped well in two hurdle starts, and finished ahead of Luker’s Tipple at Limerick. He also has a strong late-finishing profile, so he is the one most likely to capitalise if Astelia overdoes things in front. Jack Kennedy is a further positive.

Firebrand is another solid contender after a good comeback second at Punchestown, but the 8lb penalty makes his task tougher. He should run his race, yet he may need one or two of the main players to underperform.

Cocofred is the dark horse among the raced runners. His Tramore fourth on good ground was a clear step forward, and further improvement would not surprise from the Henry de Bromhead yard.

The debutantes, particularly Pretty Wild, Lengaruka and Poetic Parable, are worth watching in the market, but this looks a race where the established hurdle form sets a fair standard.

Overall, Astelia gets the vote. She is not bombproof, but the combination of solid ability, suitable conditions and a likely uncontested lead makes her the most appealing betting option. Game Point rates the main danger and could be the each-way alternative.

Selection: Astelia

Main danger: Game Point

Best value: Astelia

Each-way alternative: Game Point

World Cup 2026 Round of 16 Preview: Canada vs Morocco & Paraguay vs France,⚽⤵️👇

The first two Round of 16 matches on this side of the bracket offer very different challenges. Canada and Morocco meet in what looks like one of the most evenly balanced knockout ties of the tournament, while France face a Paraguay side that has already exceeded many expectations simply by reaching this stage.

The key question is whether Morocco can continue their giant-killing run after eliminating the Netherlands, and whether France can avoid becoming the next major favourite to fall.

---

Canada vs Morocco

Tournament Context

This is arguably one of the most intriguing Round of 16 ties.

Morocco entered the tournament as a dangerous outsider with a pre-tournament World Cup winning probability of 1.9%, placing them among the strongest second-tier nations in the field. Canada were not viewed as one of the major contenders but have steadily built momentum and confidence throughout the competition.

The biggest result affecting this matchup was Morocco's penalty-shootout victory over the Netherlands. Regardless of how penalties are viewed analytically, eliminating a side with a pre-tournament winner probability of 3.9% demonstrates Morocco's ability to compete against teams with superior reputations.

Canada reached this stage by defeating South Africa and have generally looked energetic, direct and difficult to play against.

The contrast in styles makes this particularly interesting.

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Tactical Matchup

Canada's Route to Victory

Canada are at their best when games become transitional.

They possess pace in wide areas and can create problems when they win the ball and attack quickly before opponents are fully organised.

Against Morocco, Canada will likely:

Press selectively.

Attack space behind the full-backs.

Increase tempo whenever possible.

Force Morocco into defending quick switches of play.

Canada do not necessarily want a slow possession battle.

The more open the match becomes, the more their athleticism becomes a factor.

---

Morocco's Route to Victory

Morocco are generally more comfortable in controlled tactical contests.

Their strengths include:

Defensive organisation.

Midfield structure.

Game management.

Counter-attacking efficiency.

Against the Netherlands, Morocco showed tremendous discipline, staying compact and forcing their opponents into difficult attacking positions.

The same approach can frustrate Canada.

If Morocco slow the game down and force Canada into sustained possession phases, the tactical advantage may gradually shift toward the African side.

---

Key Battle: Midfield Control

This game may ultimately be decided in midfield.

Canada's objective will be to bypass prolonged midfield exchanges and attack quickly.

Morocco will want to establish rhythm and prevent the game becoming stretched.

Whichever team imposes its preferred tempo is likely to gain a significant advantage.

---

Set Pieces

Knockout football frequently turns on dead-ball situations.

Morocco appear slightly stronger defensively from set pieces and have shown an ability to remain composed in high-pressure situations.

Canada must avoid conceding unnecessary free kicks around the penalty area.

A single set-piece moment could determine the outcome.

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Psychological Factors

Morocco may have a slight mental advantage after eliminating the Netherlands.

Teams often gain enormous belief from winning a major knockout match against a stronger opponent.

Canada, however, will enter the match with considerably less pressure. Few expected them to be making a deep World Cup run, which can make them dangerous opponents.

---

Probability Assessment

90 Minutes

Canada win: 32%

Draw: 31%

Morocco win: 37%

Qualification

Canada qualify: 45%

Morocco qualify: 55%

The probabilities suggest a very competitive encounter with a high likelihood of extra time.

---

Correct Score Prediction

Canada 1-2 Morocco

I expect a close match.

Canada should create opportunities through transitions and direct attacks, but Morocco's superior defensive structure and experience in managing knockout matches may prove decisive.

A tight game remains likely for long periods before Morocco find a winning moment in the second half.

Predicted scorer pattern:

Canada score first or equalise.

Morocco gradually gain control.

Winning goal arrives after the 60th minute.

Prediction: Morocco win 2-1.

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Paraguay vs France

Tournament Context

This tie appears far more straightforward on paper.

France entered the World Cup with a pre-tournament title probability of 12.9%, making them one of the strongest teams in the tournament.

Their progression to the latter stages is expected.

Paraguay's presence in the Round of 16 is already a significant achievement.

However, knockout football is not played on spreadsheets.

Paraguay have shown enough resilience to survive difficult matches and deserve respect.

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France's Strength Profile

France possess one of the most complete squads remaining in the competition.

Their advantages include:

Elite individual talent.

Depth across multiple positions.

Ability to score in different ways.

Strong transition play.

High-level experience.

Unlike some possession-heavy teams, France are comfortable winning games through either control or counter-attacking football.

That flexibility makes them particularly dangerous in knockout tournaments.

---

Paraguay's Challenge

Paraguay's most realistic route involves making the match uncomfortable.

They cannot allow France to play freely.

Expect Paraguay to:

Defend deep.

Stay compact.

Limit central space.

Attack through counters and set pieces.

The first objective will be keeping the score level for as long as possible.

If Paraguay reach the final 20 minutes within one goal, pressure could begin to build on France.

---

Key Battle: France's Attack vs Paraguay's Block

This is where the game will likely be decided.

France possess the quality to break defensive structures through:

Individual dribbling.

Quick combinations.

Vertical passing.

Counter-attacks.

Paraguay's defensive organisation must be almost flawless.

Over 90 minutes, sustaining that concentration level is extremely difficult.

---

Set Pieces and Transition Risk

Paraguay's best chances may come from dead-ball situations.

France occasionally concede opportunities when pushing numbers forward.

However, France are also devastating in transition.

If Paraguay commit too many players forward chasing an equaliser, France can punish them quickly.

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Probability Assessment

90 Minutes

Paraguay win: 14%

Draw: 23%

France win: 63%

Qualification

Paraguay qualify: 22%

France qualify: 78%

These numbers indicate a genuine upset is possible but unlikely.

France deserve clear favouritism.

---

Correct Score Prediction

Paraguay 0-2 France

I expect Paraguay to remain competitive early.

Their defensive organisation should prevent the game becoming a rout.

However, France's attacking depth and ability to create chances from multiple areas of the pitch should eventually tell.

The most likely scenario is:

Tight first half.

France breakthrough before or shortly after half-time.

Paraguay forced to open up.

France score a second on transition or through sustained pressure.

Prediction: France win 2-0.

---

Final Predictions

Match Prediction

Canada vs Morocco Morocco 2-1 Canada

Paraguay vs France France 2-0 Paraguay

Best Bet-Leaning Assessments

1. France to Qualify – strongest favourite of the two ties.

2. Morocco to Qualify – slight edge in a highly competitive match.

3. Paraguay vs France Under 3.5 Goals – France should control the match without needing a high-scoring shootout.

4. Canada vs Morocco Both Teams to Score – the tactical profiles suggest chances at both ends.

The most likely quarter-final emerging from these two fixtures remains France vs Morocco, with France entering that potential matchup as clear favourites.

Newton Abbot 2:10 – For Her Glory Can Strike Gold in Open Mares' Maiden🏇⤵️👇

The opening race at Newton Abbot is a competitive eight-runner mares' maiden hurdle over 2m1f on good ground, and while several arrive with similar profiles, the race may offer an opportunity to side with value rather than the obvious market leaders.

The market is headed by Likewhatyousee, who sets the standard on hurdle form after finishing a close second over this course and distance three weeks ago. Previously successful on the Flat in Ireland, she shaped well on her hurdling debut and is the one they all have to beat if reproducing that effort.

However, the TimeWise ratings suggest the market may have underestimated For Her Glory. Olly Murphy's filly tops the ratings with a figure of 303.6 and arrives after winning a Southwell bumper before finding life tougher under a penalty on her next start. Her bumper form compares favourably with most of these rivals and the switch to hurdles could unlock further improvement. The addition of a hood may also help her settle better in the early stages.

Getmyfriend is another with solid credentials. Dan Skelton's mare won a Southwell bumper impressively before disappointing under a penalty at Plumpton. Given the stable's excellent current form and strong jockey booking, she looks capable of bouncing back and rates a major contender.

Elated has the benefit of hurdling experience and has finished third in all four hurdle starts. She sets a reliable standard but has had several opportunities and may again find one or two with greater upside. Consistency should see her involved in the finish, but she could prove vulnerable to less exposed rivals.

For those seeking a bigger-priced option, Steal A Glance is the most interesting outsider. Her hurdle debut behind Likewhatyousee was disappointing, but she possesses enough bumper form to suggest she can improve and she sits comfortably ahead of the other outsiders on the ratings.

One horse attracting attention from some tipping quarters is Lundy View. She makes her hurdling debut after showing only modest bumper form at this track. At huge odds she is not completely impossible, but she requires a sizeable step forward and is difficult to support on the evidence available.

TimeWise Top Four

1. For Her Glory – 303.6

2. Likewhatyousee – 293.4

3. Getmyfriend – 292.3

4. Elated – 282.9

Verdict

This looks a race where the market may have become slightly fixated on Likewhatyousee's recent course form. The ratings make For Her Glory the horse to beat and her current odds offer a more attractive risk-reward profile.

Selection: For Her Glory

Main Danger: Likewhatyousee

Value Alternative: Getmyfriend

Best Outsider: Steal A Glance

World Cup Knockout Preview: Australia vs Egypt, Argentina vs Cape Verde, Colombia vs Ghana⚽⤵️👇

The Round of 32 often creates a dangerous mix: strong favourites trying to avoid mistakes, ambitious outsiders playing with freedom, and mid-tier nations seeing a realistic route to the latter stages. These three matches each fit a different profile. Argentina are the clearest favourite, Colombia look like a controlled but vulnerable favourite, while Australia vs Egypt is the most evenly balanced tie.

Australia vs Egypt

Australia vs Egypt looks like the tightest of the three matches. Egypt have the higher attacking ceiling and more individual match-winning quality, but Australia’s structure, physicality and set-piece threat make them awkward opponents in knockout football.

Australia’s best chance is to slow the match down, force Egypt into wide areas and create pressure through crosses, corners and second balls. Egypt will want the opposite: space, transitions and moments where their forwards can attack defenders one-on-one.

This is unlikely to be a free-flowing game. The draw probability is high because both sides have reasons to be cautious. Australia will not want to chase the game, while Egypt may feel they have enough quality to win without taking major risks.

The key battle is whether Egypt can avoid being dragged into Australia’s physical rhythm. If Egypt score first, they become strong favourites. If Australia keep it level into the final half-hour, the match becomes increasingly uncomfortable for Egypt.

Correct score prediction: Australia 1-1 Egypt

Qualification prediction: Egypt to qualify after extra time or penalties

Argentina vs Cape Verde

Argentina are the strongest favourite across these three matches. Their tournament profile is far above Cape Verde’s, and their experience in knockout football gives them a clear advantage.

Cape Verde’s route to this stage deserves respect, but this is a major jump in difficulty. Against Argentina, they are likely to spend long periods without the ball and will need near-perfect defensive discipline. Their best route is to stay compact, frustrate Argentina and look for counters or set pieces.

Argentina should dominate possession and territory. Their midfield gives them control, and their attacking quality should eventually create enough chances. The main risk is impatience. If Argentina chase an early goal too aggressively, Cape Verde could find transition opportunities.

Still, this looks like a match where the favourite’s depth and technical quality should tell. Cape Verde can keep it respectable, but Argentina should have too many ways to win.

Correct score prediction: Argentina 2-0 Cape Verde

Qualification prediction: Argentina to qualify in 90 minutes

Colombia vs Ghana

Colombia vs Ghana sits between the other two matches. Colombia are the better-rounded team and should be favourites, but Ghana have the pace and athleticism to make the game dangerous.

Colombia’s advantage is control. They should be able to manage possession, dictate midfield rhythm and create better-quality chances over time. Ghana’s advantage is disruption. If they can turn the match into a running game, they can hurt Colombia on turnovers.

This match may depend heavily on the first goal. If Colombia score first, Ghana will have to open up, which should create more space for Colombia’s attackers. If Ghana score first, Colombia may be forced into a more uncomfortable match against a side built to counter.

Colombia’s defensive structure and midfield balance make them the safer pick, but this is not a low-risk favourite. Ghana have enough physical tools to make it close.

Correct score prediction: Colombia 2-1 Ghana

Qualification prediction: Colombia to qualify in 90 minutes

Overall Betting and Value View

The strongest pure pick is Argentina to qualify, but the price is likely to be short. The better value may be Argentina to win with under 3.5 goals, because Cape Verde are likely to defend deep and keep the scoreline respectable.

The best competitive value angle is Egypt to qualify against Australia, assuming the market does not overprice them. Australia are dangerous, but Egypt’s transition threat gives them the slightly higher ceiling.

Colombia are a reasonable favourite against Ghana, but not one to take at a very short price. Ghana’s counter-attacking threat makes the match riskier than the gap in reputation might suggest.

Final Correct Score Predictions

Australia 1-1 Egypt

Egypt to qualify after extra time or penalties.

Argentina 2-0 Cape Verde

Argentina to qualify in 90 minutes.

Colombia 2-1 Ghana

Colombia to qualify in 90 minutes.

Thornaby Annie and Mereside Princess Set the Standard in Competitive Nottingham Handicap🏇⤵️👇

A competitive Class 5 handicap for three-year-olds takes centre stage at Nottingham at 16:05, with a fascinating mix of progressive handicappers, lightly raced improvers and exposed runners searching for a return to form.

At the head of the market sits Empirical, but while the Ed Walker-trained gelding has obvious potential after an encouraging handicap debut over course and distance, there are reasons to believe the race may not be as straightforward as the betting suggests.

The strongest recent form belongs to Thornaby Annie, who arrives on the back of a deserved victory at Wetherby. Adrian Nicholls' filly had been knocking on the door with successive runner-up efforts before stepping up to a mile and getting off the mark in convincing fashion. The move to this trip appears to have unlocked further improvement and, with conditions again in her favour, she looks capable of defying a 4lb rise. Her profile is that of a horse still progressing, and she sets a solid standard for the field.

Chief among the dangers is Mereside Princess, whose recent form figures make compelling reading. David and Nicola Barron's filly has won two of her last three starts and was narrowly denied a hat-trick when chasing home a well-treated rival at Musselburgh last time. She races here before a higher handicap mark takes effect and arrives in arguably the best current form in the race. If reproducing her latest effort, she should be heavily involved in the finish once again.

The market leader Empirical remains a horse of significant interest. A son of Kingman, he shaped with promise when third over this course and distance on his handicap debut after being slowly away. That was his first run after being gelded, and natural improvement is expected. However, with only one handicap run to his name and odds hovering around even money, punters are being asked to pay for anticipated progress rather than proven achievement.

For those seeking value away from the principals, Mayflower Billy deserves consideration. His second-place finish at Doncaster on handicap debut was a notable effort, and his subsequent run at Newbury may have been better than the bare result suggests given the race dynamics. He remains relatively unexposed and could easily outrun market expectations.

Perhaps the most intriguing outsider is Albertini Star. Making her handicap debut after a lengthy absence, the Alan King-trained filly steps up in trip and sports a first-time hood. Her juvenile form hinted at ability, and with just three career starts she possesses considerably more untapped potential than many of her rivals. If ready after 218 days off the track, she could emerge as the surprise package.

Elsewhere, Storm Esme, Kameko Fever and Sahara Magic all have questions to answer. Each has shown ability at earlier stages of their careers, but recent form leaves them with ground to make up against the race's leading contenders.

From a ratings perspective, Thornaby Annie narrowly earns top billing thanks to her combination of current form, proven suitability to conditions and scope for further progress. Mereside Princess rates a major threat, while Empirical remains the wildcard whose potential must now be converted into performance.

Predicted Finishing Order

1. Thornaby Annie

2. Mereside Princess

3. Empirical

4. Mayflower Billy

5. Albertini Star

Verdict

Thornaby Annie's recent victory suggested there is more to come over a mile, and she can continue her progression by following up at Nottingham. Mereside Princess rates the chief danger after a string of excellent efforts, while Empirical may prove vulnerable at short odds despite his obvious upside.I

The 16:45 at Limerick, a €12,000 handicap hurdle over 2m½f on good ground, looks a fascinating clash🏇⤵️👇

Emesteraye Tipped to Outshine Exposed Rivals in Competitive Limerick Handicap

The 16:45 at Limerick, a €12,000 handicap hurdle over 2m½f on good ground, looks a fascinating clash between proven handicappers and several unexposed runners with the potential to improve significantly.

Market leader Eastmore brings the strongest recent handicap credentials into the contest. Charles Byrnes' six-year-old has been admirably consistent since landing a Down Royal handicap last summer and arrives on the back of a pair of solid placed efforts at Cork and Tramore. His Racing Post Ratings suggest he sets the standard among the exposed runners, and another prominent showing appears likely. However, after a busy spell in handicaps, there is a suspicion that his current level of ability is now well established.

That could leave the door open for the improving Emesteraye. Ross O'Sullivan's mare shaped with considerable promise when third on her handicap debut at Wexford in May. Despite showing signs of inexperience and hanging left under pressure, she stayed on well and suggested there is considerably more to come from her opening mark. With only four hurdle starts to her name, she remains one of the least exposed runners in the field and looks capable of finding the improvement required to take a race of this nature.

Another runner firmly on the shortlist is Silly Mongoose. Patrick Foley's five-year-old took a significant step forward when winning a Kilbeggan maiden hurdle last month. He travelled strongly throughout and scored despite racing keenly, a trait that suggests he still has plenty to learn. His opening handicap mark appears fair rather than harsh, and further progress would make him a major player.

The intriguing wildcard is French import Tuche De Houelle. A winner over hurdles in France, he makes his handicap debut for Eric McNamara after a lengthy absence of more than a year. Top weight is never ideal in a competitive handicap, but his French form gives him a chance if returning in peak condition. Any notable market support would be significant and should be respected.

Among the remainder, Dairy Force cannot be ignored. Gordon Elliott's runner posted a strong figure when second at Bellewstown earlier in the spring and is capable of bouncing back from a disappointing effort at Kilbeggan. Harpy Eagle has claims if returning to the level of his better maiden form, while stablemate Youlita enters calculations after making a successful chasing debut earlier this year.

This looks likely to develop into a contest where improvement rather than established ability proves decisive. Eastmore sets a solid benchmark, but Emesteraye possesses the profile of a horse still moving forward, and she may have enough untapped potential to emerge on top.

Predicted Finishing Order

1. Emesteraye

2. Eastmore

3. Silly Mongoose

4. Tuche De Houelle

5. Dairy Force

Verdict

Emesteraye appeals as the runner with the strongest blend of current ability and future upside. Eastmore should once again run his race, while Silly Mongoose and Tuche De Houelle are respected as the principal dangers in a highly competitive handicap.

Limerick 17:20 – Daddy Long Legs Holds the Tactical Edge in Grade 3 Grimes Hurdle🏇⤵️👇

The feature race at Limerick on Thursday is the €42,000 Grade 3 Kevin McManus Bookmaker Grimes Hurdle, and while only a small field has assembled, it looks a fascinating tactical contest.

With Timeform forecasting a very weak pace, positioning could prove more important than outright ability. In races where the tempo is steady, those racing prominently often gain a significant advantage, while horses held up in rear can find themselves with too much ground to make up when the sprint begins.

That pace scenario immediately puts the spotlight on Daddy Long Legs, the Willie Mullins-trained seven-year-old who arrives in excellent form. After returning to hurdling with an authoritative victory at Ballinrobe in May, he backed that effort up with a respectable second on the Flat at Down Royal. The versatile gelding appears to retain all of his ability and, crucially, his racing style should allow Paul Townend to secure a handy position from the outset.

Mullins has an outstanding record in this race and his runners at Limerick continue to operate at an exceptional strike rate. With conditions likely to suit perfectly, Daddy Long Legs looks the horse most likely to get first run on his rivals when the race develops.

The principal danger appears to be Bowensonfire from the Gordon Elliott yard. The six-year-old produced two notable hurdle victories earlier in the season, including a competitive Leopardstown handicap, and his overall form arguably sets the standard among the younger horses in the field. However, there is a concern that his hold-up style may leave him vulnerable if the race develops into the tactical affair many expect. If the leaders are allowed an easy time in front, Bowensonfire could find himself needing to produce an exceptional turn of foot.

Last year's winner Jesse Evans cannot be dismissed. Noel Meade's veteran has enjoyed a productive campaign over fences and arrives on the back of a decisive victory at Listowel. Although now ten years old and unlikely to improve significantly, he remains a remarkably reliable performer and has already proven his suitability for this particular contest. If the front two underperform, he looks the most likely horse to capitalise.

The remainder of the field have questions to answer. King Of Kingsfield has struggled since a chasing success last autumn and must bounce back from several disappointing efforts. Run For Oscar, a high-class staying performer at his best, returns from a lengthy absence and drops markedly in trip, while Queenofthelodge appears to have plenty to find on the ratings.

PJ Racing Power Rankings

1. Daddy Long Legs

2. Bowensonfire

3. Jesse Evans

4. King Of Kingsfield

5. Run For Oscar

6. Queenofthelodge

Best Bets

Best Bet – Daddy Long Legs (Win)

Everything points towards a big run. He has the strongest overall profile, the ideal tactical setup, the champion trainer-jockey combination, and arrives in form. In a race lacking depth, he deserves favouritism.

Value Bet – Jesse Evans (Each-Way if available)

The defending champion is likely to be overlooked in the market because of his age, but his recent form remains solid. He looks capable of hitting the frame and could easily outrun his odds.

Forecast Bet

Daddy Long Legs to beat Bowensonfire

The race appears to revolve around these two, with Daddy Long Legs holding the tactical advantage and Bowensonfire possessing the strongest finishing threat.

Predicted Finishing Order

1. Daddy Long Legs

2. Bowensonfire

3. Jesse Evans

4. King Of Kingsfield

5. Run For Oscar

6. Queenofthelodge

Selection: Daddy Long Legs

Confidence Rating: 8/10

Value Selection: Jesse Evans

Race Verdict: A small-field Grade 3 that may be decided by tactics rather than stamina, with Daddy Long Legs expected to secure the run of the race and prove difficult to pass.

World Cup 2026 Match Assessments: Spain vs Austria, Portugal vs Croatia, Switzerland vs Algeria⚽⤵️👇

The Round of 32 stage is where tournament football starts to become less about reputation alone and more about control, adaptability and risk management. Spain, Portugal and Switzerland all enter their respective ties as favourites, but each faces a different type of danger. Austria bring intensity, Croatia bring tournament intelligence, and Algeria bring athletic transition threat.

Spain vs Austria

Spain are the strongest favourite of the three matches. Their tournament profile is elite, with a 16.0% chance of winning the World Cup and a 51.7% chance of reaching the quarter-finals. That suggests not only squad quality, but also consistency, depth and a tactical structure that should hold up well in knockout football.

Austria are dangerous because they can make games uncomfortable. They press aggressively, compete well physically and can turn matches into high-tempo contests. Their best chance is to disrupt Spain’s rhythm, force turnovers and attack quickly before Spain reset defensively.

The issue for Austria is that Spain are one of the best teams in the tournament at controlling the ball and limiting chaos. If Spain establish midfield dominance, Austria may spend long periods defending without enough possession to relieve pressure.

Spain’s main risk is vulnerability in transition, especially if their full-backs are caught high. Austria also carry some set-piece danger, so Spain cannot afford cheap fouls or loose defensive concentration.

Prediction: Spain should dominate territory and possession. Austria may have moments, but Spain’s technical control should eventually tell.

Correct score prediction: Spain 2-0 Austria

Portugal vs Croatia

Portugal vs Croatia is the most tactically intriguing of the three matches. Portugal have the stronger tournament profile, with a 7.1% winner chance compared with Croatia’s 1.5%. They also have greater attacking variety, more individual match-winners and better bench options.

However, Croatia are exactly the kind of opponent that can reduce a stronger side’s advantage. They are experienced, calm under pressure and comfortable in slower, tactical games. Their route to success is to control tempo, frustrate Portugal and turn the match into a contest decided by one moment, set piece or penalty shootout.

Portugal should create more danger in wide areas and around the edge of the box. Their attacking ceiling is clearly higher. But if they become impatient, Croatia can drag the game into the sort of rhythm that suits them.

This is not a match where Portugal should be priced as a heavy favourite. They are the more likely winners, but Croatia’s tournament know-how makes the upset realistic.

Prediction: Portugal edge it, but Croatia make it uncomfortable and stay alive deep into the match.

Correct score prediction: Portugal 2-1 Croatia

Switzerland vs Algeria

Switzerland vs Algeria looks like the closest match of the three. Switzerland have the stronger tournament anchor, with a 1.7% winner probability and a solid 25.0% chance of reaching the quarter-finals. That points to a team with structure, discipline and knockout reliability rather than overwhelming attacking power.

Algeria are dangerous outsiders. They are likely to be at their best when the game opens up, using pace, direct running and quick transitions. If Switzerland lose the ball in bad areas, Algeria can punish them.

Switzerland’s edge comes from organisation. They are generally comfortable in tight matches, defend well as a unit and have a set-piece advantage. In a low-scoring knockout game, those details matter.

The danger for Switzerland is that they may dominate structure without creating enough clear chances. If Algeria stay compact and disciplined, the match could become tense and narrow.

Prediction: Switzerland are slightly more reliable, but this has extra-time potential. Algeria should keep it competitive.

Correct score prediction: Switzerland 1-0 Algeria

Overall Betting-Style View

Spain are the clearest favourite and the strongest normal-time selection. Their tactical control gives them the most reliable winning profile of the three.

Portugal are likely to qualify, but Croatia are dangerous enough that the price matters. Portugal should not be backed blindly if the market is too short.

Switzerland are a cautious favourite. Their best angle is qualification rather than a dominant 90-minute win, because Algeria have enough counter-attacking threat to keep the match close.

Final Predictions

Spain vs Austria: Spain 2-0 Austria

Portugal vs Croatia: Portugal 2-1 Croatia

Switzerland vs Algeria: Switzerland 1-0 Algeria