Going: Soft
Field: 12 declared on card, but note Diamond Exchange, Liberation Date and Stars Will Shine are marked NR in the supplied racecard. Always recheck final declarations before betting.
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Race Snapshot
A competitive fillies' and mares' handicap run on soft ground over an intermediate trip. The race contains a mix of exposed older handicappers and an unexposed 3yo in Chablis Rock. Recent renewals have favoured older mares, but the weight-for-age allowance gives the younger filly a significant chance.
The soft ground should place an emphasis on stamina rather than pure speed.
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Likely Race Shape
There is no obvious confirmed front-runner.
Possible prominent racers:
Thrifty Of Digby
Apercu
Beauparc
Likely held up/midfield:
Chablis Rock
Chica Guerrera
Narlita
Lady Lilac
With no guaranteed pace, tactical positioning could matter. A steadily-run race would favour those with a turn of foot; a true stamina test would suit proven soft-ground stayers.
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Runner-by-Runner Notes & Pointer Maps
9. Chablis Rock (3yo, OR 90)
Pointer Map: 🟢 Unexposed | 🟢 Soft-ground capable | 🟢 Improvement likely | 🟡 Handicap debut
Maiden winner at Limerick with minimal fuss.
Irish Oaks entry suggests connections think plenty of her.
Receives useful weight-for-age allowance.
Lightly raced and likely still ahead of her mark.
Interesting when: 10f-12f on soft/yielding ground.
Concern: Hasn't yet beaten strong handicap opposition.
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1. Fiver Friday (6yo, OR 92)
Pointer Map: 🟢 Proven class | 🟢 Handles soft | 🟢 Strong Curragh form | 🔴 Top weight
Excellent Curragh win over Ribee.
Solid fourth in major handicap last time.
Best recent form in the race on ratings.
Interesting when: Strongly-run 10f handicaps.
Concern: Giving weight away all round.
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8. Chica Guerrera (4yo, OR 79)
Pointer Map: 🟢 Consistent | 🟢 Soft-ground performer | 🟡 Handicapper has her measure
Reliable profile.
Placed in strong handicaps on testing ground.
Rarely runs badly.
Interesting when: Soft ground and decent pace.
Concern: Often finds one or two too good.
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7. Thrifty Of Digby (5yo, OR 80)
Pointer Map: 🟢 In form | 🟢 Progressive this season | 🟡 Handicap rise
Back-to-back wins.
Beat Chica Guerrera at Gowran.
Has climbed 10lb quickly.
Interesting when: Small-field tactical races.
Concern: Latest mark may now be catching up.
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2. Apercu (6yo, OR 90)
Pointer Map: 🟢 C&D form | 🟡 Well handicapped if reviving | 🔴 Below best in 2026
Went close over this course and distance.
Capable at this level.
Current season form leaves questions.
Interesting when: Market support appears.
Concern: Needs a resurgence.
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5. Beauparc (6yo, OR 81)
Pointer Map: 🟢 Reliable | 🟢 Stays well | 🟡 Wants further
Strong second over 1m4f latest.
Honest mare.
Soft ground fine.
Interesting when: 12f-14f handicaps.
Concern: This trip may be slightly sharp.
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3. Lady Lilac (4yo, OR 88)
Pointer Map: 🟢 Class drop | 🟡 Unproven stamina | 🟡 Soft-ground capable
Dropping from Listed company.
Most effective around 1m.
This trip remains the key question.
Interesting when: Returning to shorter distances.
Concern: Final furlong could find her out.
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4. Narlita (7yo, OR 82)
Pointer Map: 🟢 Soft-ground specialist | 🟢 Consistent placer | 🟡 Winning strike-rate low
Excellent third in valuable Curragh handicap.
Excuses at Sligo after traffic issues.
Looks competitively treated.
Interesting when: Soft-ground handicaps around 10f-12f.
Concern: Often placed rather than winning.
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10. Enchanted Lady (4yo, OR 73)
Pointer Map: 🟡 Unexposed | 🔴 Needs major improvement
Opening handicap mark fair.
Has shown ability in maidens.
Interesting when: Lower-grade handicaps.
Concern: Faces stronger, battle-hardened rivals here.
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Upgrade List
🟢 Upgrades
Chablis Rock
Most likely improver.
Potentially ahead of mark.
Narlita
Better than latest result.
Conditions suit.
Fiver Friday
Strongest established form.
Handles soft ground well.
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Downgrade List
🔴 Downgrades
Apercu
Yet to show last year's level.
Lady Lilac
Stamina doubts at this trip.
Enchanted Lady
Tough assignment against experienced handicappers.
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Pointer Tags
Horse Tag
Chablis Rock Progressive Handicap Debutante
Fiver Friday Class Act Carrying Weight
Narlita Soft-Ground Handicap Tracker
Chica Guerrera Reliable Placer
Thrifty Of Digby In-Form but Rising Mark
Beauparc Wants Further
Apercu Well-Treated if Revived
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Shortlist
Most Likely Winner
Chablis Rock
Main Dangers
1. Fiver Friday
2. Narlita
3. Chica Guerrera
Value Angle
Narlita – conditions suit and recent Curragh run reads well.
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Betting Verdict
Win
Chablis Rock is the runner with the highest ceiling. She receives weight, is open to improvement, and comes from a yard operating at a high strike-rate.
Each-Way
Narlita appeals as the value play if available at double-figure odds.
Place
Chica Guerrera has a solid profile for hitting the frame.
Bettable? Moderate confidence only. This isn't an obvious betting race because several exposed mares arrive with similar ratings and there is no standout pace scenario. Chablis Rock is the most likely winner, but price sensitivity matters.
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Notebook Entries
Chablis Rock — UPGRADE
Unexposed 3yo with Irish Oaks entry. Likely capable of rating higher than OR 90. Interesting in stronger 10f-12f handicaps and black-type races.
Narlita — TRACKER
Soft-ground handicapper who shaped better than finishing position at Sligo. Worth following when returning to similar conditions.
Beauparc — TRACKER
Stayed on strongly over 1m4f. Looks likely to be more effective when returned to 12f+.
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Self-Critique
Pace picture is uncertain due to limited run-style data in the supplied card.
Non-runner status should be confirmed close to race time.
Chablis Rock's handicap mark is based largely on maiden form, creating some risk.
Fiver Friday has arguably the strongest proven form and may be underestimated despite top weight.
Summary
Most likely winner: Chablis Rock
Best value: Narlita
Best place candidate: Chica Guerrera
Danger at the weights: Fiver Friday
Final ranking:
1. Chablis Rock 🟢
2. Fiver Friday 🟢
3. Narlita 🟢
4. Chica Guerrera 🟡
5. Thrifty Of Digby 🟡
6. Beauparc 🟡
A race where the unexposed 3yo receives the nod, but Fiver Friday brings the strongest established handicap form and is a major threat despite top weight.
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